Alpha Gaming completely rebuilt their Counter-Strike lineup in August, signing five unproven Danish players who didn’t need long to find success. Even though Alpha hasn’t won any major events, they placed second at Dust2.dk Ligaen Season 24 and performed well at United21 Season 9 last month.

Nexus Gaming re-signed Ersin “ERSIN” Chiriac last week to fill in the gap left behind by the departure of Cristi “smekk” Flutur. The changes came shortly after a rough run at HATOR Games #1, where Nexus placed 9th–12th. Still, the Romanian Counter-Strike team claimed a bronze medal from United21 Season 9 a day prior, so they’re in good shape.

Esports betting sites have Alpha Gaming priced as an underdog, which makes sense considering Nexus Gaming has accomplished more. However, Nexus is missing a player and has yet to announce a replacement, making Alpha Gaming a more appealing option at the offered betting odds.

Astralis Talent enters their first meeting with MOUZ NXT in over one year as an +162 underdog, which doesn’t sound right. Even though they’ve not looked incredible over the last two months, neither has MOUZ NXT.

Despite fielding a stronger roster, Christoffer “Chr1zN” Storgaard and co. haven’t won a tournament since CCT North Europe Series #5 in June of 2023. They’ve managed just one top-four finish at OFK BGD Esports Series #1 but haven’t placed higher than top-12 across five events on Counter-Strike 2.

In contrast, Astralis Talent made the semifinals of Dust2.dk Ligaen Season 24 and reached the finals of United21 Season 9 three weeks ago. The two tournaments didn’t feature any tough opponents; however, Astralis Talent is at least in good form.

This has the potential to be a close game, and even though MOUZ NXT has a higher ceiling, Astralis Talent is in much better shape.

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00 Nation’s transition to an international roster seemed like a great move when Thomas “birdfromsky” Due Frederiksen and his crew won Pinnacle Cup V. However, since then, the squad has been in a downright spiral and hasn’t won or come close to winning a single event.

That includes a last-place finish at CCT Online Finals #3 and ninth-16th at CCT East Europe Series #2. Over that stretch, 00 Nation have lost against Sprout (0-2 and 1-2) and OG (1-2), so it’s not like they’ve struggled against many teams. But considering the quality of opponents 00 Nation beat during Pinnacle Cup V, it’s clear that something isn’t right.

ECSTATIC have not accomplished much over the last month either, and they have played much weaker opponents. So even though ECSTATIC don’t have a worse record, they’re still a weaker team.

At a better price, backing the outsiders to win would be a solid choice. But even though 00 Nation are in shaky form, they have a much higher ceiling than ECSTATIC.

500 enter CCT East Europe Series #3 in shaky form. The Bulgarian CS squad has not won a single notable tournament since European Development Championship Season 7 in February and have not placed higher than sixth over their last three.

However, 500 have found some traction recently and are 4-2 across their last six outings, with wins against Anonymo Esports (2-0) and BetBoom Team (16-13). It’s a small bounce back in an otherwise concerning stretch of iffy results, but winning a few games to get back on track might be what 500 need.

MOUZ NXT enjoyed a run of six consecutive wins in early October, but they’ve since managed just one victory across the next five against Turow Zgorzelec (2-0) in CCT East Europe Series #3: Closed Qualifier. Even more concerning is that MOUZ NXT have recently lost against weaker teams than 500.

Neither team is in a good spot ahead of this match, and while 500 are rightly priced as favourites with online betting sites, this should be a close game. The two squads don’t share a map pool, suggesting they should win their pick and that we’ll see all three maps played.

Team Falcons are reportedly close to forming a super team with Danny “zonic” S?rensen as the head coach. And some major changes are needed, considering the Falcons haven’t won much this season.

At the end of September, Team Falcons crashed out of CCT East Europe Series #2 in ninth-16th place, and a couple of weeks prior, they finished Thunderpick World Championship 2023: European Series #2 in 17th-24th. On a more positive note, the Falcons are 6-3 across their last nine outings, with wins against 9Pandas (twice), Turow Zgorzelec, B8, and los kogutos.

Results-wise Team Sampi are in a similar spot, but unlike Team Falcons, Erik “The eLiVe” Sith’s crew placed second at CCT East Europe Series #1 and won Tipsport Cup Prague Fall 2023: Online Stage at the start of the month. Still, Sampi are 4-9 since the start of September.

On paper, Team Falcons look stronger, but they shouldn’t be so pricey, which likely has to do with the brand recognition. At the offered betting odds, backing the underdogs offers more value.

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The back-to-back WePlay Academy League champions, MOUZ NXT, will kick off the third season against the newly-formed Eternal Fire Academy. The Turkish squad are an unknown thread, with no official matches on their record, and we don’t know much about their players either, making it hard to say how this game will go.

However, we know how good MOUZ NXT can be. They placed top-four at Malta Vibes Knockout Series #4 in December and reached the quarter-finals of Pinnacle Fall Series #3 a couple of weeks prior, further confirming this is a very strong academy roster.

Given their past success, MOUZ NXT should be considered one of the main favourites to win their third WePlay Academy League title, and it’s doubtful for a team like Eternal Fire Academy to stop them. There is a world where MOUZ NXT stumble a bit since this is their first match in almost a month, but the quality gap makes it hard to bet against them.

VP.Prodigy have played only three games with their current roster and have managed a 1-2 record, with a win against eSuba (2-0) and two defeats against ROYALS (0-2) and VELOX (1-2). That’s hardly inspiring knowing that VP.Prodigy ended the last WePlay Academy season in sixth place and won only one of five outings.

FURIA Academy were even less convincing with their performances in October when they finished the second WePlay Academy League season in last place without a single win. And to make matters worse, FURIA parted ways with Lucas “honda” Honda and Guilherme “piria” Barbosa at the end of last year.

Both squads are in terrible shape, and the recent roster changes surely won’t help them find any stability early on. This match seems like a complete coin flip, so we have to side with the outsiders.

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