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RSG (formerly Resurgence) should defeat Motivate.Trust Gaming on Tuesday, but we can’t agree with the online esports betting sites that have MG.Trust priced as $6.40 underdogs. At this price, MG.Trust have an implied probability of winning of just 15.6%, which is considerably lower than expected.
Admittedly, RSG have not been playing poorly of late, but they have yet to win a single match across the opening six, with four draws and two losses (0-4-2).

Motivate.Trust Gaming have hardly been more impressive (0-2-1), but they had played just three games, so it’s hard to make any conclusions. Moreover, MG.Trust forced a draw against the current tournament leaders, Execration and came very close to achieving the same feat against Army Geniuses last weekend.

A draw seems like the most likely outcome, but at $6.40 with the top betting sites, we recommend a smaller position on Motivate.Trust Gaming.

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Lilgun have yet to win a game, but they have played just two – one defeat against the current leaders, Execration and a draw against Neon Esports. Nigma Galaxy SEA, on the other side, are 1-2-0 with a win against Execration and two draws against RSG and Army Geniuses.

According to those results, Nigma Galaxy seem stronger, but they’re 0-1 in the head-to-head with Lilgun, who won their last meeting in January. What’s more, Nigma Galaxy are not that much better individual talent-wise, nor were they very convincing in their recent outings.

A draw seems like the most likely outcome, and at $2.01, this is a bet we’ll happily take. Alternatively, LIlgun with a +1.5 map handicap ($1.51) is a safer option, albeit at much lower odds.

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