Army Geniuses enter this bout with a 2-2-1 record and eight points, which is good for sixth place in the standings. Although Army Geniuses could have done much better, they still won against Phoenix Gaming on Tuesday, handing the Chinese Dota 2 roster their second loss of the tournament.

Neptune Gaming are 2-0-1 with wins against Lilgun and Summit Gaming, while their only defeat so far came on Tuesday when Neptune lost against Phoenix. However, the game was very close, and Neptune had excellent chances to win. Even though it’s hard to praise a team that choked, it’s not fair to say that Neptune are much weaker than Phoenix.

Talent-wise, there isn’t much to separate Army Geniuses and Neptune Gaming, nor can we set them apart based on their recent showings. As the latest Dota 2 betting odds suggest, a draw is the most likely outcome, but -117.65 is not a good price, so we have to take a shot with the outsiders.

Although Neptune Gaming might be a middle-of-the-table team, 496 Gaming deserve the same tag as a squad that is good but not great. They’re 3-1-2 after six outings, with wins against Rush b, Yangon Galacticos, and KOBOLDS, who 496 defeated on Tuesday.

Across the six outings, 496 Gaming have proven that they can compete with the strongest teams at the tournament. But there were moments when 496 seemed a bit out of sync, which is normal for a squad that came together only a month ago.

496 Gaming have potential, but they are not consistent enough, making it tough to side with them. On the other hand, Neptune Gaming already won against Summit, Lilgun, and they looked strong against Phoenix Gaming on Tuesday, so we have to have faith in them to deliver against 496.

Crocodile are 0-2-8 across their last ten outings, so we don’t have an issue with the esports betting sites pricing them as underdogs for this bout. But +566 seems a bit too high.

Admittedly, Crocodile haven’t won a single match since Wednesday, December 8 (against Team Pirates), but there is more to their record than meets the eye. Crocodile played well during Moon Studio Snow League a couple of weeks back and produced two highly competitive series against Ragdoll and the eventual tournament champions, LBZS.

Besides that, Crocodile looked solid against Lilgun on Saturday and were just one teamfight away from winning the first map of the series. So while Crocodile might be 0-2-8, they went toe-to-toe with teams stronger than 496 Gaming.

A smaller position on Crocodile is worth a shot at the offered betting odds. A map handicap bet on Crocodile is worth considering as a safer alternative.

The post Dota 2 Asia New Star Cup 2021 predictions – Thursday, December 30 appeared first on Esport Bet.

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This fixture reminds us of Friday’s OGA DPC South America games, in a sense that this is another example of a match where the Dota 2 betting odds seem to overvalue the brand name. There is no denying TNC Predator were once one of the best Dota 2 teams in the world, but they’re now nothing more a mediocre tier-1 team.

TNC enter this match with a 4-1 record, which looks good on paper, but we have to consider their wins against Neon Esports (2-1), T1 (2-1) and BOOM Esports (2-0) were very close. That is not to say 496 are doing much better, but they were a bit unlucky to lose against the same three opponents with 1-2.

The latest Dota 2 betting odds suggest 496 should lose this match 77.5% of the time, which is a bit too much. This is more of a 60/40 game, so we don’t need to think twice before siding with the outsiders.

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Placing a bet on Vice Esports for this match is hardly worth considering despite the generous betting odds. We believed in Vice before they clashed with T1, but what we got from that bout was only a further confirmation that Vice don’t belong at this level of play and should instead try to improve in the lower division.

BOOM Esports, on the other side, are a team that had a legitimate chance to sit at the top of the league by now, and perhaps they would have, had they not dropped the ball against T1 (1-2) and TNC Predator (0-2). Regardless of those slip-ups, BOOM are still the stronger side here and should not struggle against a team that is all but confirmed to get eliminated.

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